Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 5.919603 6.759730 7.688590 8.793732 10.075398 11.518067 13.269329
2025-03-09 4.678653 5.735930 6.998935 8.626086 10.677172 13.190327 16.523604
2025-03-16 3.904274 5.037896 6.470236 8.426551 11.050137 14.476663 19.339295
2025-03-23 3.561615 4.795961 6.430563 8.776177 12.092656 16.669225 23.558481
2025-03-30 3.221353 4.496420 6.253368 8.883034 12.774095 18.406094 27.333731
2025-04-06 2.903440 4.181112 6.003675 8.834352 13.194686 19.780137 30.715513
2025-04-13 2.628416 3.892008 5.751278 8.736908 13.506819 20.996276 33.976388
2025-04-20 2.484868 3.779655 5.742854 8.999377 14.391233 23.187576 39.094141
2025-04-27 2.343688 3.654020 5.696486 9.187955 15.164474 25.270997 44.295095
2025-05-04 2.249976 3.592194 5.740893 9.522650 16.209546 27.922415 50.861546
2025-05-11 2.056669 3.349736 5.466766 9.285914 16.227916 28.759248 54.153196
2025-05-18 1.906038 3.164561 5.270147 9.160563 16.424574 29.928835 58.228462
2025-05-25 1.772685 2.999754 5.097415 9.066872 16.680866 31.262089 62.876870
2025-06-01 1.645794 2.835511 4.911153 8.929005 16.836345 32.415944 67.322054
2025-06-08 1.522198 2.666730 4.701770 8.725435 16.837521 33.254848 71.200778
2025-06-15 1.489540 2.659322 4.784498 9.089106 18.010406 36.630581 81.245428
2025-06-22 1.425528 2.588385 4.742074 9.200191 18.672710 39.003984 89.345920
2025-06-29 1.346824 2.483405 4.625779 9.149606 18.984609 40.646473 95.946204
2025-07-06 1.268848 2.373819 4.491505 9.048347 19.173534 42.031911 102.122965
2025-07-13 1.238382 2.354417 4.533171 9.321103 20.222728 45.526754 114.290135
2025-07-20 1.201371 2.319016 4.539352 9.517090 21.117680 48.769147 126.349551
2025-07-27 1.181340 2.316207 4.611637 9.864973 22.406763 53.140472 142.301093
2025-08-03 1.106479 2.195318 4.428002 9.618905 22.243012 53.844552 147.926743